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SWE Sverige - 1. div. Södra · Kamp ·

Tvååkers IF vs Åtvidabergs FF

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–22.94 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr31%
Uafgjort28%
Udesejr41%
Full model forecastUdesejrTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUdesejr41% selection probability
Projected score1–2Tvååkers IFÅtvidabergs FF
Expected goals2.94Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over56% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa59% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
31% / 28% / 41%KampresultatUdesejr41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.5%)Dobbeltchance1272.5%1.38
Over 56% · Under 44%Goals 2.5Over56%1.79
Ja 59% · Nej 41%Begge hold scorerJa59%1.69
2.94 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
10.4 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Tvååkers IF win31%3.23
Uafgjort28%3.57
Åtvidabergs FF win41%2.44

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Tvååkers IF1.29

Hjemme share of expected goals 43.9%

Total expected goals2.94Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 56% · Under 44%

Åtvidabergs FF1.65

Ude share of expected goals 56.1%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 59% · Nej 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Tvååkers IF

1.60pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Point8

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Åtvidabergs FF

1.20pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Point6

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Vundet probability excluding draw
41%
8
Points from supplied form
6
1.29
Expected goals
1.65
Tvååkers IFÅtvidabergs FF
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Tvååkers IF signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Åtvidabergs FF signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Tvååkers IF vs Åtvidabergs FF FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Udesejr · Projected score 1–2 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Tvååkers IF vundet 31%,Uafgjort 28%,Åtvidabergs FF vundet 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.94 · Over 2.5 56% · Current selection Over