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NOR Norge - 1. division · Round 14 ·

Asane vs Kongsvinger

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–33.82 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr22%
Uafgjort23%
Udesejr55%
Full model forecastUdesejrTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUdesejr55% selection probability
Projected score1–3AsaneKongsvinger
Expected goals3.82Åbn match profile
Goals 2.5Over73% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa67% for the selected side
Expected corners10.9Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
22% / 23% / 55%KampresultatUdesejr55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Asane win (22.3%)DobbeltchanceX277.7%1.29
Over 73% · Under 27%Goals 2.5Over73%1.37
Ja 67% · Nej 33%Begge hold scorerJa67%1.49
3.82 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–3
10.9 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Asane win22%4.55
Uafgjort23%4.35
Kongsvinger win55%1.82

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Asane1.28

Hjemme share of expected goals 33.5%

Total expected goals3.82Åbn

Dedicated goals model: Over 73% · Under 27%

Kongsvinger2.54

Ude share of expected goals 66.5%

Projected score1–3BTTS splitJa 67% · Nej 33%Match profileÅbn
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Asane

0.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Point4

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Kongsvinger

1.40pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Point7

SignalUde matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
22%
Vundet probability excluding draw
55%
4
Points from supplied form
7
1.28
Expected goals
2.54
AsaneKongsvinger
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Asane signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Kongsvinger signalUde matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Asane vs Kongsvinger FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Udesejr · Projected score 1–3 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Asane vundet 22%,Uafgjort 23%,Kongsvinger vundet 55%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.82 · Over 2.5 73% · Current selection Over