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NOR Norge - 1. division · Round 14 ·

Sogndal vs Bryne

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–23.21 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr39%
Uafgjort27%
Udesejr34%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr39% selection probability
Projected score2–2SogndalBryne
Expected goals3.21Åbn match profile
Goals 2.5Over62% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa64% for the selected side
Expected corners11.1Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
39% / 27% / 34%KampresultatHjemmesejr39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.8%)Dobbeltchance1273.2%1.37
Over 62% · Under 38%Goals 2.5Over62%1.61
Ja 64% · Nej 36%Begge hold scorerJa64%1.56
3.21 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–2
11.1 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Sogndal win39%2.56
Uafgjort27%3.70
Bryne win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sogndal1.70

Hjemme share of expected goals 53%

Total expected goals3.21Åbn

Dedicated goals model: Over 62% · Under 38%

Bryne1.51

Ude share of expected goals 47%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 64% · Nej 36%Match profileÅbn
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Sogndal

1.20pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Point6

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 5/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Bryne

1.40pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Point7

SignalUde matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Vundet probability excluding draw
34%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.70
Expected goals
1.51
SogndalBryne
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sogndal signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Bryne signalUde matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Sogndal vs Bryne FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–2 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sogndal vundet 39%,Uafgjort 27%,Bryne vundet 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.21 · Over 2.5 62% · Current selection Over