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FRA Francie - Ligue 1 · Zápas ·

Monako vs Marseille

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domácí form
Projected score2–23.66 expected goals
Hosté form
Výhra domácích38%
Remíza26%
Výhra hostů37%
Full model forecastVýhra domácíchTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácích38% selection probability
Projected score2–2MonakoMarseille
Expected goals3.66Otevírací match profile
Goals 2.5Více71% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíAno71% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Méně 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
38% / 26% / 37%Výsledek zápasuVýhra domácích38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.6%)Dvojitá šance1274.4%1.34
Více 71% · Méně 29%Goals 2.5Více71%1.41
Ano 71% · Ne 29%Oba týmy skórujíAno71%1.41
3.66 total expected goalsPřesné skóre2–2
9.3 expected match cornersRohyMéně 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Ne snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFérový kurz
Monako win38%2.63
Remíza26%3.85
Marseille win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Monako1.85

Domácí share of expected goals 50.5%

Total expected goals3.66Otevírací

Dedicated goals model: Více 71% · Méně 29%

Marseille1.81

Hosté share of expected goals 49.5%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitAno 71% · Ne 29%Match profileOtevírací
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

Monako

1.80pts / match
Odehráno5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Body9

SignalDomácí won 3/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

Marseille

2.00pts / match
Odehráno5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Body10

SignalDomácí matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Výhra probability excluding draw
37%
9
Points from supplied form
10
1.85
Expected goals
1.81
MonakoMarseille
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Monako signalDomácí won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Marseille signalDomácí matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Monako vs Marseille FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácích · Projected score 2–2 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Monako výhra 38%,Remíza 26%,Marseille výhra 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.66 · Více 2.5 71% · Current selection Více