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ARG Argentina Championship Women · Final ·

Newell's (Ž) vs Ferro Carril Oeste (Ž)

Prediction review

Domácí form
Final score1–2Předpověď 0–1
Hosté form
Výhra domácích18%
Remíza32%
Výhra hostů49%
Full model forecastVýhra hostůTier A · 49% selection probability
Prediction Úspěšná
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra hostů49% selection probability
Projected score0–1Newell's (Ž)Ferro Carril Oeste (Ž)
Expected goals1.80Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Méně73% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíNe71% for the selected side
Expected corners7.5Méně 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
18% / 32% / 49%Výsledek zápasuVýhra hostů49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Newell's (Ž) win (18.3%)Dvojitá šanceX281.7%1.22
Více 27% · Méně 73%Goals 2.5Méně73%1.37
Ano 29% · Ne 71%Oba týmy skórujíNe71%1.41
1.80 total expected goalsPřesné skóre0–1
7.5 expected match cornersRohyMéně 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Ne snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFérový kurz
Newell's (Ž) win18%5.56
Remíza32%3.13
Ferro Carril Oeste (Ž) win49%2.04

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Newell's (Ž)0.49

Domácí share of expected goals 27.2%

Total expected goals1.80Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Více 27% · Méně 73%

Ferro Carril Oeste (Ž)1.31

Hosté share of expected goals 72.8%

Projected score0–1BTTS splitAno 29% · Ne 71%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

Newell's (Ž)

0.00pts / match
Odehráno5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Body0

SignalDomácí matches under 2.5: 4/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

Ferro Carril Oeste (Ž)

1.00pts / match
Odehráno5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Body5

SignalDomácí failed to score: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
18%
Výhra probability excluding draw
49%
0
Points from supplied form
5
0.49
Expected goals
1.31
Newell's (Ž)Ferro Carril Oeste (Ž)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Newell's (Ž) signalDomácí matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ferro Carril Oeste (Ž) signalDomácí failed to score: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Newell's (Ž) vs Ferro Carril Oeste (Ž) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra hostů · Projected score 0–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Newell's (Ž) výhra 18%,Remíza 32%,Ferro Carril Oeste (Ž) výhra 49%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.80 · Více 2.5 27% · Current selection Méně