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POL Полша - Лига 3 · Мач ·

Варта Гожув vs Карина Губин

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–23.43 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина44%
Равен25%
Победа за госта31%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина44% selection probability
Projected score2–2Варта ГожувКарина Губин
Expected goals3.43Откриване match profile
Goals 2.5Над67% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа67% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
44% / 25% / 31%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.9%)Двоен шанс1275.1%1.33
Над 67% · Под 33%Goals 2.5Над67%1.49
Да 67% · Не 33%И двата отбора да отбележатДа67%1.49
3.43 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–2
10.5 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapВарта Гожув winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Варта Гожув win44%2.272.0045%-1.0 pp
Равен25%4.003.6025%0.0 pp
Карина Губин win31%3.233.0030%+1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Варта Гожув1.63

Домакин share of expected goals 47.5%

Total expected goals3.43Откриване

Dedicated goals model: Над 67% · Под 33%

Карина Губин1.80

Гост share of expected goals 52.5%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitДа 67% · Не 33%Match profileОткриване
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Варта Гожув

1.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Точки6

SignalДомакин clean sheets: 2/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Карина Губин

1.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Точки7

SignalГост matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
31%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.63
Expected goals
1.80
Варта ГожувКарина Губин
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Варта Гожув signalДомакин clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Карина Губин signalГост matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Варта Гожув vs Карина Губин FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–2 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Варта Гожув печеливш 44%,Равен 25%,Карина Губин печеливш 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.43 · Над 2.5 67% · Current selection Над