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ARG Argentina Liga Profesional · Мач ·

Сан Лоренцо vs Уракан

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–11.25 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина34%
Равен34%
Победа за госта32%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 34% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина34% selection probability
Projected score1–1Сан ЛоренцоУракан
Expected goals1.25Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Под87% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе78% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
34% / 34% / 32%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина34%2.94
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Уракан win (32.3%)Двоен шанс1X67.7%1.48
Над 13% · Под 87%Goals 2.5Под87%1.15
Да 22% · Не 78%И двата отбора да отбележатНе78%1.28
1.25 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
8.6 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.6%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Сан Лоренцо win34%2.942.7534.4%-0.4 pp
Равен34%2.942.8832.9%+1.1 pp
Уракан win32%3.132.9032.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Сан Лоренцо0.64

Домакин share of expected goals 51.2%

Total expected goals1.25Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Над 13% · Под 87%

Уракан0.61

Гост share of expected goals 48.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 22% · Не 78%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Сан Лоренцо

0.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Точки4

SignalДомакин matches under 2.5: 5/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Уракан

1.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Точки6

SignalДомакин failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
32%
4
Points from supplied form
6
0.64
Expected goals
0.61
Сан ЛоренцоУракан
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Сан Лоренцо signalДомакин matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Уракан signalДомакин failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk66% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 34%.

Match questions

Сан Лоренцо vs Уракан FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 1–1 · 34% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Сан Лоренцо печеливш 34%,Равен 34%,Уракан печеливш 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.25 · Над 2.5 13% · Current selection Под