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PRT Португалия - Сегунда Лига · Round 1 ·

УД Лейрия vs Tondela

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–12.43 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина39%
Равен29%
Победа за госта32%
Market-based forecastПобеда за домакинаTier B · 39% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина39% selection probability
Projected score1–1УД ЛейрияTondela
Expected goals2.43Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Под56% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
39% / 29% / 32%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.4%)Двоен шанс1270.6%1.42
Над 44% · Под 56%Goals 2.5Под56%1.79
Да 50% · Не 50%И двата отбора да отбележатДа50%2.00
2.43 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
9.0 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin12.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimНяма
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
УД Лейрия win39%2.562.3038.6%
Равен29%3.453.0029.6%
Tondela win32%3.132.8031.7%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

УД Лейрия1.28

Домакин share of expected goals 52.7%

Total expected goals2.43Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 44% · Под 56%

Tondela1.15

Гост share of expected goals 47.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 50% · Не 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

УД Лейрия

0.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Точки4

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Tondela

0.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Точки3

SignalГост matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
32%
4
Points from supplied form
3
1.28
Expected goals
1.15
УД ЛейрияTondela
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01УД Лейрия signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Tondela signalГост matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

УД Лейрия vs Tondela FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

УД Лейрия печеливш 39%,Равен 29%,Tondela печеливш 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.43 · Над 2.5 44% · Current selection Под