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NLD Нидерландия - Ередивизия · Мач ·

Грьонинген vs Фортуна Ситард

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–12.93 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина48%
Равен27%
Победа за госта25%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина48% selection probability
Projected score2–1ГрьонингенФортуна Ситард
Expected goals2.93Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Над56% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа56% for the selected side
Expected corners11.0Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
48% / 27% / 25%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Фортуна Ситард win (25.3%)Двоен шанс1X74.7%1.34
Над 56% · Под 44%Goals 2.5Над56%1.79
Да 56% · Не 44%И двата отбора да отбележатДа56%1.79
2.93 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
11.0 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Не snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедлив коефициент
Грьонинген win48%2.08
Равен27%3.70
Фортуна Ситард win25%4.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Грьонинген1.85

Домакин share of expected goals 63.1%

Total expected goals2.93Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 56% · Под 44%

Фортуна Ситард1.08

Гост share of expected goals 36.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 56% · Не 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Грьонинген

2.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Точки10

SignalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Фортуна Ситард

1.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Точки7

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
25%
10
Points from supplied form
7
1.85
Expected goals
1.08
ГрьонингенФортуна Ситард
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Грьонинген signalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Фортуна Ситард signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Грьонинген vs Фортуна Ситард FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Грьонинген печеливш 48%,Равен 27%,Фортуна Ситард печеливш 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.93 · Над 2.5 56% · Current selection Над