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SCO Шотландия - Лига Едно · Round 1 ·

Хамилтън vs Алоа

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–12.45 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина40%
Равен30%
Победа за госта30%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина40% selection probability
Projected score1–1ХамилтънАлоа
Expected goals2.45Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Под56% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе50% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
40% / 30% / 30%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.5%)Двоен шанс1270.5%1.42
Над 44% · Под 56%Goals 2.5Под56%1.79
Да 50% · Не 50%И двата отбора да отбележатНе50%2.00
2.45 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
10.2 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Не snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедлив коефициент
Хамилтън win40%2.50
Равен30%3.33
Алоа win30%3.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Хамилтън1.38

Домакин share of expected goals 56.3%

Total expected goals2.45Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 44% · Под 56%

Алоа1.07

Гост share of expected goals 43.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 50% · Не 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Хамилтън

2.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Точки10

SignalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Алоа

0.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Точки3

SignalДомакин clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
30%
10
Points from supplied form
3
1.38
Expected goals
1.07
ХамилтънАлоа
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Хамилтън signalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Алоа signalДомакин clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Хамилтън vs Алоа FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Хамилтън печеливш 40%,Равен 30%,Алоа печеливш 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.45 · Над 2.5 44% · Current selection Под