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CHN 中國乙級聯賽 · 比賽 ·

南通海門珂締緣 vs 青島紅獅

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score1–12.19 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝43%
30%
客勝27%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝43% selection probability
Projected score1–1南通海門珂締緣青島紅獅
Expected goals2.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.562% for the selected side
雙方進球56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
43% / 30% / 27%比賽結果主勝43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 青島紅獅 win (27.4%)雙重機會1X72.6%1.38
大 38% · 小 62%Goals 2.562%1.61
是 44% · 否 56%雙方進球56%1.79
2.19 total expected goals正確比分1–1
9.1 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gap南通海門珂締緣 winDifference+0.2 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
南通海門珂締緣 win43%2.332.1042.8%+0.2 pp
30%3.333.0030%0.0 pp
青島紅獅 win27%3.703.3027.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

南通海門珂締緣1.21

主隊 share of expected goals 55.3%

Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: 38% · 62%

青島紅獅0.98

客隊 share of expected goals 44.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 44% · 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

南通海門珂締緣

1.40pts / match
5Wins2Drawn1Losses2積分7

Signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

客隊-context · form sequence

青島紅獅

1.00pts / match
5Wins1Drawn2Losses2積分5

Signal主隊 failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
贏 probability excluding draw
27%
7
Points from supplied form
5
1.21
Expected goals
0.98
南通海門珂締緣青島紅獅
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01南通海門珂締緣 signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02青島紅獅 signal主隊 failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

南通海門珂締緣 vs 青島紅獅 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

南通海門珂締緣 43%, 30%,青島紅獅 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.19 · 大2.5 38% · Current selection