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SCO 蘇格蘭甲級聯賽 · Round 1 ·

南方皇后 vs 彼得黑德

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score2–13.59 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝52%
24%
客勝24%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝52% selection probability
Projected score2–1南方皇后彼得黑德
Expected goals3.59初盤 match profile
Goals 2.570% for the selected side
雙方進球65% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
52% / 24% / 24%比賽結果主勝52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 彼得黑德 win (23.8%)雙重機會1X76.2%1.31
大 70% · 小 30%Goals 2.570%1.43
是 65% · 否 35%雙方進球65%1.54
3.59 total expected goals正確比分2–1
9.5 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

否 snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probability公平賠率
南方皇后 win52%1.92
24%4.17
彼得黑德 win24%4.17

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

南方皇后2.33

主隊 share of expected goals 64.9%

Total expected goals3.59初盤

Dedicated goals model: 70% · 30%

彼得黑德1.26

客隊 share of expected goals 35.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 65% · 35%Match profile初盤
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

南方皇后

0.80pts / match
5Wins1Drawn1Losses3積分4

Signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 4/5

客隊-context · form sequence

彼得黑德

0.60pts / match
5Wins1Drawn0Losses4積分3

Signal客隊 matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
贏 probability excluding draw
24%
4
Points from supplied form
3
2.33
Expected goals
1.26
南方皇后彼得黑德
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01南方皇后 signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02彼得黑德 signal客隊 matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

南方皇后 vs 彼得黑德 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 2–1 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

南方皇后 52%, 24%,彼得黑德 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.59 · 大2.5 70% · Current selection