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SCO 蘇格蘭冠軍聯賽 · Round 1 ·

鄧費姆林 vs 艾爾

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score2–12.53 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝48%
28%
客勝24%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝48% selection probability
Projected score2–1鄧費姆林艾爾
Expected goals2.53Balanced match profile
Goals 2.553% for the selected side
雙方進球52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
48% / 28% / 24%比賽結果主勝48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 艾爾 win (23.8%)雙重機會1X76.2%1.31
大 47% · 小 53%Goals 2.553%1.89
是 48% · 否 52%雙方進球52%1.92
2.53 total expected goals正確比分2–1
9.6 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

否 snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probability公平賠率
鄧費姆林 win48%2.08
28%3.57
艾爾 win24%4.17

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

鄧費姆林1.65

主隊 share of expected goals 65.2%

Total expected goals2.53Balanced

Dedicated goals model: 47% · 53%

艾爾0.88

客隊 share of expected goals 34.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 48% · 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

鄧費姆林

1.00pts / match
5Wins1Drawn2Losses2積分5

Signal主隊 matches under 2.5: 5/5

客隊-context · form sequence

艾爾

1.20pts / match
5Wins2Drawn0Losses3積分6

Signal主隊 clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
贏 probability excluding draw
24%
5
Points from supplied form
6
1.65
Expected goals
0.88
鄧費姆林艾爾
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01鄧費姆林 signal主隊 matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02艾爾 signal主隊 clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

鄧費姆林 vs 艾爾 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

鄧費姆林 48%, 28%,艾爾 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.53 · 大2.5 47% · Current selection