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USA 美国足球冠军联赛 · 比賽 ·

新墨西哥聯合 vs 橙縣SC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score2–12.69 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝41%
29%
客勝30%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝41% selection probability
Projected score2–1新墨西哥聯合橙縣SC
Expected goals2.69Balanced match profile
Goals 2.550% for the selected side
雙方進球54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
41% / 29% / 30%比賽結果主勝41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.6%)雙重機會1271.4%1.40
大 50% · 小 50%Goals 2.550%2.00
是 54% · 否 46%雙方進球54%1.85
2.69 total expected goals正確比分2–1
9.4 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

否 snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probability公平賠率
新墨西哥聯合 win41%2.44
29%3.45
橙縣SC win30%3.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

新墨西哥聯合1.53

主隊 share of expected goals 56.9%

Total expected goals2.69Balanced

Dedicated goals model: 50% · 50%

橙縣SC1.16

客隊 share of expected goals 43.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 54% · 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

新墨西哥聯合

2.60pts / match
5Wins4Drawn1Losses0積分13

Signal主隊 unbeaten 5/5

客隊-context · form sequence

橙縣SC

2.20pts / match
5Wins3Drawn2Losses0積分11

Signal主隊 clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
贏 probability excluding draw
30%
13
Points from supplied form
11
1.53
Expected goals
1.16
新墨西哥聯合橙縣SC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01新墨西哥聯合 signal主隊 unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02橙縣SC signal主隊 clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

新墨西哥聯合 vs 橙縣SC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 2–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

新墨西哥聯合 41%, 29%,橙縣SC 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.69 · 大2.5 50% · Current selection