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WAL 威爾士北部錦標賽 · 比賽 ·

圭斯菲德 vs 莫德亞曆山大FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score2–12.64 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝51%
24%
客勝25%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝51% selection probability
Projected score2–1圭斯菲德莫德亞曆山大FC
Expected goals2.64Balanced match profile
Goals 2.551% for the selected side
雙方進球52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
51% / 24% / 25%比賽結果主勝51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.3%)雙重機會1275.7%1.32
大 49% · 小 51%Goals 2.551%1.96
是 48% · 否 52%雙方進球52%1.92
2.64 total expected goals正確比分2–1
9.1 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gap圭斯菲德 winDifference+1.0 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
圭斯菲德 win51%1.961.8050%+1.0 pp
24%4.173.7024.3%-0.3 pp
莫德亞曆山大FC win25%4.003.5025.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

圭斯菲德1.79

主隊 share of expected goals 67.8%

Total expected goals2.64Balanced

Dedicated goals model: 49% · 51%

莫德亞曆山大FC0.85

客隊 share of expected goals 32.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 48% · 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

圭斯菲德

2.00pts / match
5Wins3Drawn1Losses1積分10

Signal主隊 unbeaten 4/5

客隊-context · form sequence

莫德亞曆山大FC

2.60pts / match
5Wins4Drawn1Losses0積分13

Signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
贏 probability excluding draw
25%
10
Points from supplied form
13
1.79
Expected goals
0.85
圭斯菲德莫德亞曆山大FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01圭斯菲德 signal主隊 unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02莫德亞曆山大FC signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

圭斯菲德 vs 莫德亞曆山大FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

圭斯菲德 51%, 24%,莫德亞曆山大FC 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.64 · 大2.5 49% · Current selection