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ARG 阿根廷大都會區丙級聯賽 · 比賽 ·

阿雷納斯勝利 vs 拉馬德裏

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score1–11.78 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝38%
34%
客勝28%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝38% selection probability
Projected score1–1阿雷納斯勝利拉馬德裏
Expected goals1.78Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.574% for the selected side
雙方進球65% for the selected side
Expected corners8.2小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
38% / 34% / 28%比賽結果主勝38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 拉馬德裏 win (28.3%)雙重機會1X71.7%1.39
大 26% · 小 74%Goals 2.574%1.35
是 35% · 否 65%雙方進球65%1.54
1.78 total expected goals正確比分1–1
8.2 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

否 snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probability公平賠率
阿雷納斯勝利 win38%2.63
34%2.94
拉馬德裏 win28%3.57

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

阿雷納斯勝利1.02

主隊 share of expected goals 57.3%

Total expected goals1.78Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: 26% · 74%

拉馬德裏0.76

客隊 share of expected goals 42.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 35% · 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

阿雷納斯勝利

1.20pts / match
5Wins1Drawn3Losses1積分6

Signal主隊 unbeaten 4/5

客隊-context · form sequence

拉馬德裏

0.60pts / match
5Wins0Drawn3Losses2積分3

Signal主隊 matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
贏 probability excluding draw
28%
6
Points from supplied form
3
1.02
Expected goals
0.76
阿雷納斯勝利拉馬德裏
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01阿雷納斯勝利 signal主隊 unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02拉馬德裏 signal主隊 matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 34%.

Match questions

阿雷納斯勝利 vs 拉馬德裏 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

阿雷納斯勝利 38%, 34%,拉馬德裏 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.78 · 大2.5 26% · Current selection