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SWE 瑞典超級聯賽 · 比賽 ·

蓋斯 vs 布馬保卡拿

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score1–12.08 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝42%
31%
客勝27%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝42% selection probability
Projected score1–1蓋斯布馬保卡拿
Expected goals2.08Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.566% for the selected side
雙方進球59% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3大 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
42% / 31% / 27%比賽結果主勝42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 布馬保卡拿 win (26.7%)雙重機會1X73.3%1.36
大 34% · 小 66%Goals 2.566%1.52
是 41% · 否 59%雙方進球59%1.69
2.08 total expected goals正確比分1–1
10.3 expected match corners角球大 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

否 snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probability公平賠率
蓋斯 win42%2.38
31%3.23
布馬保卡拿 win27%3.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

蓋斯1.26

主隊 share of expected goals 60.6%

Total expected goals2.08Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: 34% · 66%

布馬保卡拿0.82

客隊 share of expected goals 39.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 41% · 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

蓋斯

0.80pts / match
5Wins1Drawn1Losses3積分4

Signal主隊 matches under 2.5: 4/5

客隊-context · form sequence

布馬保卡拿

1.60pts / match
5Wins2Drawn2Losses1積分8

Signal主隊 failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
贏 probability excluding draw
27%
4
Points from supplied form
8
1.26
Expected goals
0.82
蓋斯布馬保卡拿
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01蓋斯 signal主隊 matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02布馬保卡拿 signal主隊 failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

蓋斯 vs 布馬保卡拿 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

蓋斯 42%, 31%,布馬保卡拿 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.08 · 大2.5 34% · Current selection