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EUR 欧洲友谊赛 · Final ·

阿普爾尼高斯亞 vs 基菲西亚

Prediction review

主隊 form
Final score2–2預測 2–1
客隊 form
主勝43%
27%
客勝30%
Market-based forecast主勝Tier B · 43% selection probability
Prediction 未命中
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝43% selection probability
Projected score2–1阿普爾尼高斯亞基菲西亚
Expected goals3.24初盤 match profile
Goals 2.562% for the selected side
雙方進球65% for the selected side
Expected corners8.0小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
43% / 27% / 30%比賽結果主勝43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27%)雙重機會1273%1.37
大 62% · 小 38%Goals 2.562%1.61
是 65% · 否 35%雙方進球65%1.54
3.24 total expected goals正確比分2–1
8.0 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.7%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claim
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
阿普爾尼高斯亞 win43%2.332.1042.6%
27%3.703.2527.5%
基菲西亚 win30%3.333.0029.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

阿普爾尼高斯亞1.77

主隊 share of expected goals 54.6%

Total expected goals3.24初盤

Dedicated goals model: 62% · 38%

基菲西亚1.47

客隊 share of expected goals 45.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 65% · 35%Match profile初盤
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

阿普爾尼高斯亞

1.20pts / match
5Wins2Drawn0Losses3積分6

Signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 5/5

客隊-context · form sequence

基菲西亚

0.50pts / match
4Wins0Drawn2Losses2積分2

Signal主隊 clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
贏 probability excluding draw
30%
6
Points from supplied form
2
1.77
Expected goals
1.47
阿普爾尼高斯亞基菲西亚
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01阿普爾尼高斯亞 signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02基菲西亚 signal主隊 clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

阿普爾尼高斯亞 vs 基菲西亚 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

阿普爾尼高斯亞 43%, 27%,基菲西亚 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.24 · 大2.5 62% · Current selection