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SCO Scotland Premiership · Round 1 ·

St Mirren vs St Johnstone

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score2–12.75 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng46%
Hòa25%
Đội khách thắng29%
Baseline forecastChủ nhà thắngTier C · 46% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callChủ nhà thắng46% selection probability
Projected score2–1St MirrenSt Johnstone
Expected goals2.75Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Tài52% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bàn55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Tài 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
46% / 25% / 29%Kết quả trận đấuChủ nhà thắng46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25%)Cơ hội kép1275%1.33
Tài 52% · Xỉu 48%Goals 2.5Tài52%1.92
Có 55% · Không 45%Cả hai đội ghi bàn55%1.82
2.75 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác2–1
10.3 expected match cornersPhạt gócTài 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Không snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityTỷ lệ công bằng
St Mirren win46%2.17
Hòa25%4.00
St Johnstone win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

St Mirren1.56

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 56.7%

Total expected goals2.75Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Tài 52% · Xỉu 48%

St Johnstone1.19

Khách share of expected goals 43.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 55% · Không 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

St Mirren

1.40pts / match
Số trận5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Điểm7

SignalChủ nhà matches under 2.5: 4/5

Khách-context · form sequence

St Johnstone

3.00pts / match
Số trận5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Điểm15

SignalChủ nhà clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Thắng probability excluding draw
29%
7
Points from supplied form
15
1.56
Expected goals
1.19
St MirrenSt Johnstone
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01St Mirren signalChủ nhà matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02St Johnstone signalChủ nhà clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

St Mirren vs St Johnstone FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Chủ nhà thắng · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

St Mirren thắng 46%,Hòa 25%,St Johnstone thắng 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.75 · Tài 2.5 52% · Current selection Tài