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ENG England Premier League · Trận đấu ·

Tottenham vs Newcastle

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score1–12.82 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng42%
Hòa27%
Đội khách thắng32%
Full model forecastChủ nhà thắngTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callChủ nhà thắng42% selection probability
Projected score1–1TottenhamNewcastle
Expected goals2.82Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Tài53% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bàn57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Tài 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
42% / 27% / 32%Kết quả trận đấuChủ nhà thắng42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.6%)Cơ hội kép1273.4%1.36
Tài 53% · Xỉu 47%Goals 2.5Tài53%1.89
Có 57% · Không 43%Cả hai đội ghi bàn57%1.75
2.82 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác1–1
9.9 expected match cornersPhạt gócTài 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.4%Largest probability gapNewcastle winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomeDự đoánTỷ lệ công bằngReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Tottenham win42%2.382.2042.3%-0.3 pp
Hòa27%3.703.5026.6%+0.4 pp
Newcastle win32%3.133.0031%+1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Tottenham1.41

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 50%

Total expected goals2.82Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Tài 53% · Xỉu 47%

Newcastle1.41

Khách share of expected goals 50%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 57% · Không 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

Tottenham

1.40pts / match
Số trận5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Điểm7

SignalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 3/5

Khách-context · form sequence

Newcastle

1.60pts / match
Số trận5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Điểm8

SignalChủ nhà clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Thắng probability excluding draw
32%
7
Points from supplied form
8
1.41
Expected goals
1.41
TottenhamNewcastle
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Tottenham signalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Newcastle signalChủ nhà clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Tottenham vs Newcastle FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Chủ nhà thắng · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Tottenham thắng 42%,Hòa 27%,Newcastle thắng 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.82 · Tài 2.5 53% · Current selection Tài