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INT Türkiye 1 Lig · Maç ·

Sivasspor vs Manisa FK

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score1–12.24 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır47%
Beraberlik27%
Deplasman kazanır26%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır47% selection probability
Projected score1–1SivassporManisa FK
Expected goals2.24Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alt61% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
47% / 27% / 26%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Manisa FK win (26%)Çifte Şans1X74%1.35
Üst 39% · Alt 61%Goals 2.5Alt61%1.64
Evet 46% · Hayır 54%Karşılıklı gol varHayır54%1.85
2.24 total expected goalsDoğru skor1–1
9.5 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapManisa FK winDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sivasspor win47%2.131.9147.1%-0.1 pp
Beraberlik27%3.703.3027.2%-0.2 pp
Manisa FK win26%3.853.5025.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sivasspor1.23

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 54.9%

Total expected goals2.24Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Üst 39% · Alt 61%

Manisa FK1.01

Deplasman share of expected goals 45.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitEvet 46% · Hayır 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Sivasspor

0.80pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puan4

SignalEv Sahibi failed to score: 3/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Manisa FK

2.40pts / match
Oynanan5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Puan12

SignalDeplasman unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
26%
4
Points from supplied form
12
1.23
Expected goals
1.01
SivassporManisa FK
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sivasspor signalEv Sahibi failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Manisa FK signalDeplasman unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Sivasspor vs Manisa FK FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 1–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sivasspor kazanç 47%,Beraberlik 27%,Manisa FK kazanç 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.24 · 2.5 Üst 39% · Current selection Alt