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INT Türkiye Super Lig · Maç ·

Konyaspor vs Kocaelispor

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score1–11.85 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır49%
Beraberlik28%
Deplasman kazanır23%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır49% selection probability
Projected score1–1KonyasporKocaelispor
Expected goals1.85Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alt72% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır65% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
49% / 28% / 23%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Kocaelispor win (23.1%)Çifte Şans1X76.9%1.30
Üst 28% · Alt 72%Goals 2.5Alt72%1.39
Evet 35% · Hayır 65%Karşılıklı gol varHayır65%1.54
1.85 total expected goalsDoğru skor1–1
8.7 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.5%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Konyaspor win49%2.041.8549.8%-0.8 pp
Beraberlik28%3.573.4027.1%+0.9 pp
Kocaelispor win23%4.354.0023%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Konyaspor1.12

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 60.5%

Total expected goals1.85Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Üst 28% · Alt 72%

Kocaelispor0.73

Deplasman share of expected goals 39.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitEvet 35% · Hayır 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Konyaspor

1.20pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puan6

SignalEv Sahibi clean sheets: 2/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Kocaelispor

0.80pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puan4

SignalEv Sahibi won 2/4 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
23%
6
Points from supplied form
4
1.12
Expected goals
0.73
KonyasporKocaelispor
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Konyaspor signalEv Sahibi clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Kocaelispor signalEv Sahibi won 2/4 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Konyaspor vs Kocaelispor FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 1–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Konyaspor kazanç 49%,Beraberlik 28%,Kocaelispor kazanç 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.85 · 2.5 Üst 28% · Current selection Alt