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INT Türkiye 1 Lig · Final ·

Sivasspor vs Esenler Erokspor

Prediction review

Ev Sahibi form
Final score0–0Tahmin 1–1
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır27%
Beraberlik30%
Deplasman kazanır43%
Full model forecastDeplasman kazanırTier A · 43% selection probability
Prediction Kaybetti
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callDeplasman kazanır43% selection probability
Projected score1–1SivassporEsenler Erokspor
Expected goals2.25Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alt61% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
27% / 30% / 43%Maç sonucuDeplasman kazanır43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sivasspor win (26.7%)Çifte ŞansX273.3%1.36
Üst 39% · Alt 61%Goals 2.5Alt61%1.64
Evet 44% · Hayır 56%Karşılıklı gol varHayır56%1.79
2.25 total expected goalsDoğru skor1–1
9.5 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Hayır snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityAdil oran
Sivasspor win27%3.70
Beraberlik30%3.33
Esenler Erokspor win43%2.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sivasspor0.88

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 39.1%

Total expected goals2.25Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Üst 39% · Alt 61%

Esenler Erokspor1.37

Deplasman share of expected goals 60.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitEvet 44% · Hayır 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Sivasspor

1.20pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puan6

SignalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 4/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Esenler Erokspor

1.40pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puan7

SignalDeplasman matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
27%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
43%
6
Points from supplied form
7
0.88
Expected goals
1.37
SivassporEsenler Erokspor
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sivasspor signalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Esenler Erokspor signalDeplasman matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Sivasspor vs Esenler Erokspor FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Deplasman kazanır · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sivasspor kazanç 27%,Beraberlik 30%,Esenler Erokspor kazanç 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.25 · 2.5 Üst 39% · Current selection Alt