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INT Portugal Liga 3 · Match ·

USC Paredes vs Leca

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.30 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger51%
Oavgjort27%
Bortaseger22%
Market-based forecastHemmasegerTier B · 51% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger51% selection probability
Projected score1–1USC ParedesLeca
Expected goals2.30Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under60% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
51% / 27% / 22%MatchresultatHemmaseger51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Leca win (21.7%)Dubbelchans1X78.3%1.28
Över 40% · Under 60%Goals 2.5Under60%1.67
Ja 46% · Nej 54%Båda lagen gör målNej54%1.85
2.30 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.4 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.2%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
USC Paredes win51%1.961.7352%
Oavgjort27%3.703.3027.3%
Leca win22%4.554.3320.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

USC Paredes1.40

Hemma share of expected goals 60.9%

Total expected goals2.30Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 40% · Under 60%

Leca0.90

Borta share of expected goals 39.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 46% · Nej 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

USC Paredes

2.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poäng10

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Leca

0.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Poäng3

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
22%
10
Points from supplied form
3
1.40
Expected goals
0.90
USC ParedesLeca
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01USC Paredes signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Leca signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

USC Paredes vs Leca FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

USC Paredes vunnen 51%,Oavgjort 27%,Leca vunnen 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.30 · Över 2.5 40% · Current selection Under