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EUR Europe Friendlies · Match ·

Barakaldo vs Real Unión

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–13.22 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger49%
Oavgjort25%
Bortaseger25%
Market-based forecastHemmasegerTier B · 49% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger49% selection probability
Projected score2–1BarakaldoReal Unión
Expected goals3.22Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över62% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa64% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
49% / 25% / 25%MatchresultatHemmaseger49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.3%)Dubbelchans1274.7%1.34
Över 62% · Under 38%Goals 2.5Över62%1.61
Ja 64% · Nej 36%Båda lagen gör målJa64%1.56
3.22 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
8.6 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Barakaldo win49%2.041.8049.6%
Oavgjort25%4.003.5025.5%
Real Unión win25%4.003.6024.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Barakaldo1.86

Hemma share of expected goals 57.8%

Total expected goals3.22Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 62% · Under 38%

Real Unión1.36

Borta share of expected goals 42.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 64% · Nej 36%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Barakaldo

1.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poäng8

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Real Unión

2.50pts / match
Spelade4Wins3Drawn1Losses0Poäng10

SignalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
25%
8
Points from supplied form
10
1.86
Expected goals
1.36
BarakaldoReal Unión
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Barakaldo signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Real Unión signalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Barakaldo vs Real Unión FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Barakaldo vunnen 49%,Oavgjort 25%,Real Unión vunnen 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.22 · Över 2.5 62% · Current selection Över