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INT England - National League Cup · Match ·

Tamworth vs Newcastle U21

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–13.08 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger44%
Oavgjort20%
Bortaseger36%
Market-based forecastHemmasegerTier B · 44% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger44% selection probability
Projected score2–1TamworthNewcastle U21
Expected goals3.08Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över60% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
44% / 20% / 36%MatchresultatHemmaseger44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (20.1%)Dubbelchans1279.9%1.25
Över 60% · Under 40%Goals 2.5Över60%1.67
Ja 60% · Nej 40%Båda lagen gör målJa60%1.67
3.08 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.8 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin12.7%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Tamworth win44%2.272.0543.3%
Oavgjort20%5.004.5019.7%
Newcastle U21 win36%2.782.4037%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Tamworth1.65

Hemma share of expected goals 53.6%

Total expected goals3.08Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 60% · Under 40%

Newcastle U211.43

Borta share of expected goals 46.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 60% · Nej 40%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Tamworth

1.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Poäng5

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Newcastle U21

0.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Poäng1

SignalBorta failed to score: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
36%
5
Points from supplied form
1
1.65
Expected goals
1.43
TamworthNewcastle U21
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Tamworth signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Newcastle U21 signalBorta failed to score: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Tamworth vs Newcastle U21 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Tamworth vunnen 44%,Oavgjort 20%,Newcastle U21 vunnen 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.08 · Över 2.5 60% · Current selection Över