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INT UEFA Conference League - Kval · Match ·

SC Freiburg vs Motherwell

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–12.77 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger46%
Oavgjort25%
Bortaseger29%
Baseline forecastHemmasegerTier C · 46% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger46% selection probability
Projected score2–1SC FreiburgMotherwell
Expected goals2.77Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Över52% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
46% / 25% / 29%MatchresultatHemmaseger46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.9%)Dubbelchans1275.1%1.33
Över 52% · Under 48%Goals 2.5Över52%1.92
Ja 55% · Nej 45%Båda lagen gör målJa55%1.82
2.77 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.1 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
SC Freiburg win46%2.17
Oavgjort25%4.00
Motherwell win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

SC Freiburg1.57

Hemma share of expected goals 56.7%

Total expected goals2.77Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 52% · Under 48%

Motherwell1.20

Borta share of expected goals 43.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 55% · Nej 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

SC Freiburg

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Motherwell

1.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poäng8

SignalBorta unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
29%
7
Points from supplied form
8
1.57
Expected goals
1.20
SC FreiburgMotherwell
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01SC Freiburg signalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Motherwell signalBorta unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

SC Freiburg vs Motherwell FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

SC Freiburg vunnen 46%,Oavgjort 25%,Motherwell vunnen 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.77 · Över 2.5 52% · Current selection Över