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EUR UEFA Europa League - Kval · Match ·

KF Egnatia vs Lilleström

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.62 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger30%
Oavgjort26%
Bortaseger44%
Market-based forecastBortasegerTier B · 44% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger44% selection probability
Projected score1–1KF EgnatiaLilleström
Expected goals2.62Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under51% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
30% / 26% / 44%MatchresultatBortaseger44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.3%)Dubbelchans1273.7%1.36
Över 49% · Under 51%Goals 2.5Under51%1.96
Ja 54% · Nej 46%Båda lagen gör målJa54%1.85
2.62 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.6 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin9.3%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
KF Egnatia win30%3.333.2528.1%
Oavgjort26%3.853.5026.1%
Lilleström win44%2.272.0045.7%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

KF Egnatia1.22

Hemma share of expected goals 46.6%

Total expected goals2.62Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 49% · Under 51%

Lilleström1.40

Borta share of expected goals 53.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 54% · Nej 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

KF Egnatia

1.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poäng8

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Lilleström

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
30%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
44%
8
Points from supplied form
7
1.22
Expected goals
1.40
KF EgnatiaLilleström
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01KF Egnatia signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lilleström signalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

KF Egnatia vs Lilleström FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

KF Egnatia vunnen 30%,Oavgjort 26%,Lilleström vunnen 44%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.62 · Över 2.5 49% · Current selection Under