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SVN Slovenien - Prva Liga · Match ·

NK Brinje Grosuplje vs NK Celje

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–23.39 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger22%
Oavgjort23%
Bortaseger56%
Full model forecastBortasegerTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger56% selection probability
Projected score1–2NK Brinje GrosupljeNK Celje
Expected goals3.39Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över66% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa56% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
22% / 23% / 56%MatchresultatBortaseger56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes NK Brinje Grosuplje win (21.5%)DubbelchansX278.5%1.27
Över 66% · Under 34%Goals 2.5Över66%1.52
Ja 56% · Nej 44%Båda lagen gör målJa56%1.79
3.39 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
8.7 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapNK Celje winDifference+1.5 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
NK Brinje Grosuplje win22%4.554.0022.5%-0.5 pp
Oavgjort23%4.353.9023%0.0 pp
NK Celje win56%1.791.6554.5%+1.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

NK Brinje Grosuplje0.95

Hemma share of expected goals 28%

Total expected goals3.39Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 66% · Under 34%

NK Celje2.44

Borta share of expected goals 72%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 56% · Nej 44%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

NK Brinje Grosuplje

0.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Poäng2

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Borta-context · form sequence

NK Celje

1.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poäng8

SignalBorta unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
22%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
56%
2
Points from supplied form
8
0.95
Expected goals
2.44
NK Brinje GrosupljeNK Celje
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01NK Brinje Grosuplje signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02NK Celje signalBorta unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

NK Brinje Grosuplje vs NK Celje FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–2 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

NK Brinje Grosuplje vunnen 22%,Oavgjort 23%,NK Celje vunnen 56%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.39 · Över 2.5 66% · Current selection Över