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EUR Europe Friendlies · Match ·

Cieza vs Valencia Mestalla

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–23.24 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger38%
Oavgjort25%
Bortaseger37%
Market-based forecastHemmasegerTier B · 38% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger38% selection probability
Projected score2–2CiezaValencia Mestalla
Expected goals3.24Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över63% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa65% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
38% / 25% / 37%MatchresultatHemmaseger38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.8%)Dubbelchans1275.2%1.33
Över 63% · Under 37%Goals 2.5Över63%1.59
Ja 65% · Nej 35%Båda lagen gör målJa65%1.54
3.24 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–2
8.4 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cieza win38%2.632.4037.5%
Oavgjort25%4.003.6025%
Valencia Mestalla win37%2.702.4037.5%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cieza1.67

Hemma share of expected goals 51.5%

Total expected goals3.24Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 63% · Under 37%

Valencia Mestalla1.57

Borta share of expected goals 48.5%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 65% · Nej 35%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Cieza

1.33pts / match
Spelade3Wins1Drawn1Losses1Poäng4

SignalBorta unbeaten 3/3

Borta-context · form sequence

Valencia Mestalla

1.67pts / match
Spelade3Wins1Drawn2Losses0Poäng5

SignalNej recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
37%
4
Points from supplied form
5
1.67
Expected goals
1.57
CiezaValencia Mestalla
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cieza signalBorta unbeaten 3/3

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Valencia Mestalla signalNej recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Cieza vs Valencia Mestalla FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–2 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cieza vunnen 38%,Oavgjort 25%,Valencia Mestalla vunnen 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.24 · Över 2.5 63% · Current selection Över