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EUR Europe Friendlies · Match ·

Atletico Astorga vs Deportivo Fabril

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–23.24 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger31%
Oavgjort25%
Bortaseger44%
Market-based forecastBortasegerTier B · 44% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger44% selection probability
Projected score2–2Atletico AstorgaDeportivo Fabril
Expected goals3.24Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över63% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa65% for the selected side
Expected corners7.9Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
31% / 25% / 44%MatchresultatBortaseger44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.9%)Dubbelchans1275.1%1.33
Över 63% · Under 37%Goals 2.5Över63%1.59
Ja 65% · Nej 35%Båda lagen gör målJa65%1.54
3.24 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–2
7.9 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Atletico Astorga win31%3.233.0030%
Oavgjort25%4.003.6025%
Deportivo Fabril win44%2.272.0045%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Atletico Astorga1.55

Hemma share of expected goals 47.8%

Total expected goals3.24Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 63% · Under 37%

Deportivo Fabril1.69

Borta share of expected goals 52.2%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 65% · Nej 35%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Atletico Astorga

3.00pts / match
Spelade4Wins4Drawn0Losses0Poäng12

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/4

Borta-context · form sequence

Deportivo Fabril

2.00pts / match
Spelade3Wins2Drawn0Losses1Poäng6

SignalHemma clean sheets: 2/4

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
44%
12
Points from supplied form
6
1.55
Expected goals
1.69
Atletico AstorgaDeportivo Fabril
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Atletico Astorga signalHemma unbeaten 4/4

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Deportivo Fabril signalHemma clean sheets: 2/4

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Atletico Astorga vs Deportivo Fabril FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 2–2 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Atletico Astorga vunnen 31%,Oavgjort 25%,Deportivo Fabril vunnen 44%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.24 · Över 2.5 63% · Current selection Över