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EST Estland - Esiliiga B · Match ·

Tallinna JK Legion vs JK Trans Narva II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–34.23 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger4%
Oavgjort6%
Bortaseger89%
Full model forecastBortasegerTier A · 89% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger89% selection probability
Projected score1–3Tallinna JK LegionJK Trans Narva II
Expected goals4.23Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över79% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa53% for the selected side
Expected corners10.9Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
4% / 6% / 89%MatchresultatBortaseger89%1.12
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Tallinna JK Legion win (4.2%)DubbelchansX295.8%1.04
Över 79% · Under 21%Goals 2.5Över79%1.27
Ja 53% · Nej 47%Båda lagen gör målJa53%1.89
4.23 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–3
10.9 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.3%Largest probability gapJK Trans Narva II winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Tallinna JK Legion win4%25.0023.004.1%-0.1 pp
Oavgjort6%16.6715.006.3%-0.3 pp
JK Trans Narva II win89%1.121.0589.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Tallinna JK Legion0.80

Hemma share of expected goals 18.9%

Total expected goals4.23Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 79% · Under 21%

JK Trans Narva II3.43

Borta share of expected goals 81.1%

Projected score1–3BTTS splitJa 53% · Nej 47%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Tallinna JK Legion

0.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Poäng3

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 5/5

Borta-context · form sequence

JK Trans Narva II

2.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Poäng12

SignalBorta unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
4%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
89%
3
Points from supplied form
12
0.80
Expected goals
3.43
Tallinna JK LegionJK Trans Narva II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Tallinna JK Legion signalHemma matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02JK Trans Narva II signalBorta unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk11% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 6%.

Match questions

Tallinna JK Legion vs JK Trans Narva II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–3 · 89% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Tallinna JK Legion vunnen 4%,Oavgjort 6%,JK Trans Narva II vunnen 89%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.23 · Över 2.5 79% · Current selection Över