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INT Tjeckien - 4. Liga · Match ·

FK Trutnov vs Spartak Police Nad Metuji

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–23.72 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger40%
Oavgjort24%
Bortaseger36%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger40% selection probability
Projected score2–2FK TrutnovSpartak Police Nad Metuji
Expected goals3.72Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över72% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa71% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
40% / 24% / 36%MatchresultatHemmaseger40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.8%)Dubbelchans1276.2%1.31
Över 72% · Under 28%Goals 2.5Över72%1.39
Ja 71% · Nej 29%Båda lagen gör målJa71%1.41
3.72 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–2
10.0 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapFK Trutnov winDifference0.0 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Trutnov win40%2.502.2540%0.0 pp
Oavgjort24%4.173.7524%0.0 pp
Spartak Police Nad Metuji win36%2.782.5036%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Trutnov1.96

Hemma share of expected goals 52.7%

Total expected goals3.72Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 72% · Under 28%

Spartak Police Nad Metuji1.76

Borta share of expected goals 47.3%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 71% · Nej 29%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

FK Trutnov

0.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poäng4

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 5/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Spartak Police Nad Metuji

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7

SignalBorta matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
36%
4
Points from supplied form
7
1.96
Expected goals
1.76
FK TrutnovSpartak Police Nad Metuji
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Trutnov signalHemma matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Spartak Police Nad Metuji signalBorta matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

FK Trutnov vs Spartak Police Nad Metuji FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–2 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Trutnov vunnen 40%,Oavgjort 24%,Spartak Police Nad Metuji vunnen 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.72 · Över 2.5 72% · Current selection Över