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POL Polen - IV Liga · Match ·

LKS Belk vs Kuznia Ustron

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–13.00 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger48%
Oavgjort22%
Bortaseger30%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger48% selection probability
Projected score2–1LKS BelkKuznia Ustron
Expected goals3.00Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Över58% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
48% / 22% / 30%MatchresultatHemmaseger48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (21.6%)Dubbelchans1278.4%1.28
Över 58% · Under 42%Goals 2.5Över58%1.72
Ja 56% · Nej 44%Båda lagen gör målJa56%1.79
3.00 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
10.6 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.9%Largest probability gapKuznia Ustron winDifference-1.3 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
LKS Belk win48%2.081.9147.2%+0.8 pp
Oavgjort22%4.554.2021.5%+0.5 pp
Kuznia Ustron win30%3.332.8831.3%-1.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

LKS Belk1.97

Hemma share of expected goals 65.7%

Total expected goals3.00Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 58% · Under 42%

Kuznia Ustron1.03

Borta share of expected goals 34.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 56% · Nej 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

LKS Belk

1.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Poäng9

SignalHemma won 3/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Kuznia Ustron

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
30%
9
Points from supplied form
7
1.97
Expected goals
1.03
LKS BelkKuznia Ustron
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01LKS Belk signalHemma won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Kuznia Ustron signalHemma matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

LKS Belk vs Kuznia Ustron FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

LKS Belk vunnen 48%,Oavgjort 22%,Kuznia Ustron vunnen 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.00 · Över 2.5 58% · Current selection Över