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INT Ecuador - LigaPro Serie B · Match ·

CD Cuenca Jrs vs Vinotinto Ecuador

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.17 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger44%
Oavgjort30%
Bortaseger26%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger44% selection probability
Projected score1–1CD Cuenca JrsVinotinto Ecuador
Expected goals2.17Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under63% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej57% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
44% / 30% / 26%MatchresultatHemmaseger44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Vinotinto Ecuador win (26%)Dubbelchans1X74%1.35
Över 37% · Under 63%Goals 2.5Under63%1.59
Ja 43% · Nej 57%Båda lagen gör målNej57%1.75
2.17 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
8.5 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.7%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CD Cuenca Jrs win44%2.272.0044.3%-0.3 pp
Oavgjort30%3.333.0029.6%+0.4 pp
Vinotinto Ecuador win26%3.853.4026.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CD Cuenca Jrs1.30

Hemma share of expected goals 59.9%

Total expected goals2.17Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 37% · Under 63%

Vinotinto Ecuador0.87

Borta share of expected goals 40.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 43% · Nej 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

CD Cuenca Jrs

2.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Poäng11

SignalHemma unbeaten 5/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Vinotinto Ecuador

0.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Poäng3

SignalHemma matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
26%
11
Points from supplied form
3
1.30
Expected goals
0.87
CD Cuenca JrsVinotinto Ecuador
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CD Cuenca Jrs signalHemma unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Vinotinto Ecuador signalHemma matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

CD Cuenca Jrs vs Vinotinto Ecuador FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CD Cuenca Jrs vunnen 44%,Oavgjort 30%,Vinotinto Ecuador vunnen 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.17 · Över 2.5 37% · Current selection Under