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INT France Ligue 3 · Match ·

Aubagne Air Bel vs Thionville FC

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.58 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger42%
Oavgjort28%
Bortaseger29%
Market-based forecastHemmasegerTier B · 42% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Aubagne Air BelThionville FC
Expected goals2.58Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under53% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa53% for the selected side
Expected corners0.0Nej corner projection
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
42% / 28% / 29%MatchresultatHemmaseger42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.2%)Dubbelchans1271.8%1.39
Över 47% · Under 53%Goals 2.5Under53%1.89
Ja 53% · Nej 47%Båda lagen gör målJa53%1.89
2.58 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
0.0 expected match cornersHörnorNej corner projection
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.0%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Aubagne Air Bel win42%2.382.1542.3%
Oavgjort28%3.573.2028.4%
Thionville FC win29%3.453.1029.3%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Aubagne Air Bel1.43

Hemma share of expected goals 55.4%

Total expected goals2.58Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 47% · Under 53%

Thionville FC1.15

Borta share of expected goals 44.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 53% · Nej 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Aubagne Air Bel

0.67pts / match
Spelade3Wins0Drawn2Losses1Poäng2

SignalNej recent signal

Borta-context · form sequence

Thionville FC

0.00pts / match
Spelade0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Poäng0

SignalNej recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
29%
2
Points from supplied form
0
1.43
Expected goals
1.15
Aubagne Air BelThionville FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Aubagne Air Bel signalNej recent signal

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Thionville FC signalNej recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Aubagne Air Bel vs Thionville FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Aubagne Air Bel vunnen 42%,Oavgjort 28%,Thionville FC vunnen 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.58 · Över 2.5 47% · Current selection Under