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INT Bulgaria Second League · Match ·

Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo vs Marek Dupnitsa

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–12.39 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger54%
Oavgjort26%
Bortaseger20%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger54% selection probability
Projected score2–1Etar 1924 Veliko TarnovoMarek Dupnitsa
Expected goals2.39Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under57% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
54% / 26% / 20%MatchresultatHemmaseger54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Marek Dupnitsa win (20%)Dubbelchans1X80%1.25
Över 43% · Under 57%Goals 2.5Under57%1.75
Ja 46% · Nej 54%Båda lagen gör målNej54%1.85
2.39 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.6 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.2%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.2 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo win54%1.851.6554%0.0 pp
Oavgjort26%3.853.4026.2%-0.2 pp
Marek Dupnitsa win20%5.004.5019.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo1.50

Hemma share of expected goals 62.8%

Total expected goals2.39Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 43% · Under 57%

Marek Dupnitsa0.89

Borta share of expected goals 37.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 46% · Nej 54%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo

2.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Poäng11

SignalHemma unbeaten 5/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Marek Dupnitsa

2.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Poäng12

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
20%
11
Points from supplied form
12
1.50
Expected goals
0.89
Etar 1924 Veliko TarnovoMarek Dupnitsa
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo signalHemma unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Marek Dupnitsa signalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo vs Marek Dupnitsa FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo vunnen 54%,Oavgjort 26%,Marek Dupnitsa vunnen 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.39 · Över 2.5 43% · Current selection Under