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ESP Spanien - Segunda División · Final ·

Sporting Gijon vs Sabadell

Prediction review

Hemma form
Final score0–0Prognos 2–1
Borta form
Hemmaseger52%
Oavgjort28%
Bortaseger21%
Market-based forecastHemmasegerTier B · 52% selection probability
Prediction Förlorad
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger52% selection probability
Projected score2–1Sporting GijonSabadell
Expected goals2.61Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under52% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
52% / 28% / 21%MatchresultatHemmaseger52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sabadell win (20.8%)Dubbelchans1X79.2%1.26
Över 48% · Under 52%Goals 2.5Under52%1.92
Ja 53% · Nej 47%Båda lagen gör målJa53%1.89
2.61 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.5 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin6.0%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sporting Gijon win52%1.921.8052.4%
Oavgjort28%3.573.4027.7%
Sabadell win21%4.764.7519.9%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sporting Gijon1.59

Hemma share of expected goals 60.9%

Total expected goals2.61Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 48% · Under 52%

Sabadell1.02

Borta share of expected goals 39.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 53% · Nej 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Sporting Gijon

1.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Poäng9

SignalHemma won 3/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Sabadell

2.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Poäng11

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
21%
9
Points from supplied form
11
1.59
Expected goals
1.02
Sporting GijonSabadell
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sporting Gijon signalHemma won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sabadell signalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Sporting Gijon vs Sabadell FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sporting Gijon vunnen 52%,Oavgjort 28%,Sabadell vunnen 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.61 · Över 2.5 48% · Current selection Under