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SVN Slovenien - Prva Liga · Match ·

NK Maribor vs FC Koper

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.71 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger36%
Oavgjort29%
Bortaseger35%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger36% selection probability
Projected score1–1NK MariborFC Koper
Expected goals2.71Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Över51% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
36% / 29% / 35%MatchresultatHemmaseger36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.7%)Dubbelchans1271.3%1.40
Över 51% · Under 49%Goals 2.5Över51%1.96
Ja 56% · Nej 44%Båda lagen gör målJa56%1.79
2.71 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.7 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
NK Maribor win36%2.78
Oavgjort29%3.45
FC Koper win35%2.86

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

NK Maribor1.37

Hemma share of expected goals 50.6%

Total expected goals2.71Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 51% · Under 49%

FC Koper1.34

Borta share of expected goals 49.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 56% · Nej 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

NK Maribor

1.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Poäng9

SignalHemma unbeaten 5/5

Borta-context · form sequence

FC Koper

1.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poäng8

SignalHemma clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
35%
9
Points from supplied form
8
1.37
Expected goals
1.34
NK MariborFC Koper
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01NK Maribor signalHemma unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Koper signalHemma clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

NK Maribor vs FC Koper FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

NK Maribor vunnen 36%,Oavgjort 29%,FC Koper vunnen 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.71 · Över 2.5 51% · Current selection Över