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ENG England - National League South · Round 1 ·

Salisbury vs Hampton & Richmond

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.41 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger33%
Oavgjort27%
Bortaseger40%
Full model forecastBortasegerTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger40% selection probability
Projected score1–1SalisburyHampton & Richmond
Expected goals2.41Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under57% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
33% / 27% / 40%MatchresultatBortaseger40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.3%)Dubbelchans1272.7%1.38
Över 43% · Under 57%Goals 2.5Under57%1.75
Ja 49% · Nej 51%Båda lagen gör målNej51%1.96
2.41 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.3 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapSalisbury winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Salisbury win33%3.032.8032%+1.0 pp
Oavgjort27%3.703.3027.2%-0.2 pp
Hampton & Richmond win40%2.502.2040.8%-0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Salisbury1.38

Hemma share of expected goals 57.3%

Total expected goals2.41Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 43% · Under 57%

Hampton & Richmond1.03

Borta share of expected goals 42.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 49% · Nej 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Salisbury

0.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poäng4

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Hampton & Richmond

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7

SignalBorta matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
40%
4
Points from supplied form
7
1.38
Expected goals
1.03
SalisburyHampton & Richmond
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Salisbury signalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Hampton & Richmond signalBorta matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Salisbury vs Hampton & Richmond FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Salisbury vunnen 33%,Oavgjort 27%,Hampton & Richmond vunnen 40%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.41 · Över 2.5 43% · Current selection Under