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EST Estland - Meistriliiga · Final ·

Parnu JK Vaprus vs FC Flora Tallinn

Prediction review

Hemma form
Final score1–2Prognos 1–2
Borta form
Hemmaseger19%
Oavgjort22%
Bortaseger59%
Full model forecastBortasegerTier A · 59% selection probability
Prediction Vunnen
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger59% selection probability
Projected score1–2Parnu JK VaprusFC Flora Tallinn
Expected goals3.13Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över61% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa60% for the selected side
Expected corners11.4Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
19% / 22% / 59%MatchresultatBortaseger59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Parnu JK Vaprus win (19.3%)DubbelchansX280.7%1.24
Över 61% · Under 39%Goals 2.5Över61%1.64
Ja 60% · Nej 40%Båda lagen gör målJa60%1.67
3.13 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
11.4 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.2%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Parnu JK Vaprus win19%5.264.7519.1%-0.1 pp
Oavgjort22%4.554.2021.6%+0.4 pp
FC Flora Tallinn win59%1.691.5359.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Parnu JK Vaprus1.16

Hemma share of expected goals 37.1%

Total expected goals3.13Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 61% · Under 39%

FC Flora Tallinn1.97

Borta share of expected goals 62.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 60% · Nej 40%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Parnu JK Vaprus

0.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poäng4

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

FC Flora Tallinn

0.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Poäng3

SignalBorta failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
19%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
59%
4
Points from supplied form
3
1.16
Expected goals
1.97
Parnu JK VaprusFC Flora Tallinn
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Parnu JK Vaprus signalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Flora Tallinn signalBorta failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Parnu JK Vaprus vs FC Flora Tallinn FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–2 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Parnu JK Vaprus vunnen 19%,Oavgjort 22%,FC Flora Tallinn vunnen 59%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.13 · Över 2.5 61% · Current selection Över