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ENG England - National League North · Match ·

Oxford City vs Bedford Town

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–12.79 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger46%
Oavgjort26%
Bortaseger28%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger46% selection probability
Projected score2–1Oxford CityBedford Town
Expected goals2.79Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Över53% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
46% / 26% / 28%MatchresultatHemmaseger46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.8%)Dubbelchans1274.2%1.35
Över 53% · Under 47%Goals 2.5Över53%1.89
Ja 56% · Nej 44%Båda lagen gör målJa56%1.79
2.79 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
10.2 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.6%Largest probability gapOxford City winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Oxford City win46%2.171.9546.4%-0.4 pp
Oavgjort26%3.853.5025.8%+0.2 pp
Bedford Town win28%3.573.2527.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Oxford City1.58

Hemma share of expected goals 56.6%

Total expected goals2.79Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 53% · Under 47%

Bedford Town1.21

Borta share of expected goals 43.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 56% · Nej 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Oxford City

2.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poäng10

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Bedford Town

1.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Poäng9

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
28%
10
Points from supplied form
9
1.58
Expected goals
1.21
Oxford CityBedford Town
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Oxford City signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Bedford Town signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Oxford City vs Bedford Town FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Oxford City vunnen 46%,Oavgjort 26%,Bedford Town vunnen 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.79 · Över 2.5 53% · Current selection Över