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Sutton Utd vs Altrincham

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.64 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger46%
Oavgjort26%
Bortaseger28%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger46% selection probability
Projected score1–1Sutton UtdAltrincham
Expected goals2.64Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under51% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
46% / 26% / 28%MatchresultatHemmaseger46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26%)Dubbelchans1274%1.35
Över 49% · Under 51%Goals 2.5Under51%1.96
Ja 54% · Nej 46%Båda lagen gör målJa54%1.85
2.64 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.8 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.2%Largest probability gapSutton Utd winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sutton Utd win46%2.171.9546.6%-0.6 pp
Oavgjort26%3.853.5025.9%+0.1 pp
Altrincham win28%3.573.3027.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sutton Utd1.40

Hemma share of expected goals 53%

Total expected goals2.64Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 49% · Under 51%

Altrincham1.24

Borta share of expected goals 47%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 54% · Nej 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Sutton Utd

0.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Poäng3

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Altrincham

1.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Poäng9

SignalHemma failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
28%
3
Points from supplied form
9
1.40
Expected goals
1.24
Sutton UtdAltrincham
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sutton Utd signalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Altrincham signalHemma failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Sutton Utd vs Altrincham FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sutton Utd vunnen 46%,Oavgjort 26%,Altrincham vunnen 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.64 · Över 2.5 49% · Current selection Under