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DNK Denmark Division 1 · Match ·

Ålborg vs Kolding IF

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.36 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger48%
Oavgjort26%
Bortaseger26%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger48% selection probability
Projected score1–1ÅlborgKolding IF
Expected goals2.36Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under58% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
48% / 26% / 26%MatchresultatHemmaseger48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26%)Dubbelchans1274%1.35
Över 42% · Under 58%Goals 2.5Under58%1.72
Ja 48% · Nej 52%Båda lagen gör målNej52%1.92
2.36 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.8 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.9%Largest probability gapÅlborg winDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ålborg win48%2.081.9148.5%-0.5 pp
Oavgjort26%3.853.6025.7%+0.3 pp
Kolding IF win26%3.853.6025.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ålborg1.30

Hemma share of expected goals 55.1%

Total expected goals2.36Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 42% · Under 58%

Kolding IF1.06

Borta share of expected goals 44.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 48% · Nej 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Ålborg

2.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poäng10

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Kolding IF

0.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poäng4

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
26%
10
Points from supplied form
4
1.30
Expected goals
1.06
ÅlborgKolding IF
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ålborg signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Kolding IF signalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Ålborg vs Kolding IF FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ålborg vunnen 48%,Oavgjort 26%,Kolding IF vunnen 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.36 · Över 2.5 42% · Current selection Under