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SVK Slovensko - Superliga · Zápas ·

Spartak Trnava vs MŠK Žilina

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score2–13.13 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich52%
Remíza24%
Výhra hostí24%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich52% selection probability
Projected score2–1Spartak TrnavaMŠK Žilina
Expected goals3.13Otvoriť match profile
Goals 2.5Viac61% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúÁno62% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Viac 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
52% / 24% / 24%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.7%)Dvojitá šanca1276.3%1.31
Viac 61% · Menej 39%Goals 2.5Viac61%1.64
Áno 62% · Nie 38%Oba tímy skórujúÁno62%1.61
3.13 total expected goalsPresné skóre2–1
9.9 expected match cornersRohyViac 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.4%Largest probability gapSpartak Trnava winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Spartak Trnava win52%1.921.7552.7%-0.7 pp
Remíza24%4.173.9023.6%+0.4 pp
MŠK Žilina win24%4.173.9023.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Spartak Trnava1.82

Domáci share of expected goals 58.1%

Total expected goals3.13Otvoriť

Dedicated goals model: Viac 61% · Menej 39%

MŠK Žilina1.31

Hostia share of expected goals 41.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitÁno 62% · Nie 38%Match profileOtvoriť
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

Spartak Trnava

2.60pts / match
Odohrané5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Body13

SignalDomáci unbeaten 5/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

MŠK Žilina

1.80pts / match
Odohrané5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Body9

SignalDomáci matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
Výhra probability excluding draw
24%
13
Points from supplied form
9
1.82
Expected goals
1.31
Spartak TrnavaMŠK Žilina
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Spartak Trnava signalDomáci unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02MŠK Žilina signalDomáci matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Spartak Trnava vs MŠK Žilina FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 2–1 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Spartak Trnava výhra 52%,Remíza 24%,MŠK Žilina výhra 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.13 · Viac 2.5 61% · Current selection Viac