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AUT Rakúsko - Regionalliga Ost · Zápas ·

FC Marchfeld Donauauen vs SV Leobendorf

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score1–12.37 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich54%
Remíza24%
Výhra hostí22%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich54% selection probability
Projected score1–1FC Marchfeld DonauauenSV Leobendorf
Expected goals2.37Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Menej58% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúNie55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Menej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
54% / 24% / 22%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes SV Leobendorf win (21.9%)Dvojitá šanca1X78.1%1.28
Viac 42% · Menej 58%Goals 2.5Menej58%1.72
Áno 45% · Nie 55%Oba tímy skórujúNie55%1.82
2.37 total expected goalsPresné skóre1–1
9.3 expected match cornersRohyMenej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapFC Marchfeld Donauauen winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Marchfeld Donauauen win54%1.851.6554.4%-0.4 pp
Remíza24%4.173.8023.6%+0.4 pp
SV Leobendorf win22%4.554.1021.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Marchfeld Donauauen1.50

Domáci share of expected goals 63.3%

Total expected goals2.37Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Viac 42% · Menej 58%

SV Leobendorf0.87

Hostia share of expected goals 36.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitÁno 45% · Nie 55%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

FC Marchfeld Donauauen

1.60pts / match
Odohrané5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Body8

SignalDomáci unbeaten 4/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

SV Leobendorf

1.40pts / match
Odohrané5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Body7

SignalDomáci matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Výhra probability excluding draw
22%
8
Points from supplied form
7
1.50
Expected goals
0.87
FC Marchfeld DonauauenSV Leobendorf
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Marchfeld Donauauen signalDomáci unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02SV Leobendorf signalDomáci matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

FC Marchfeld Donauauen vs SV Leobendorf FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 1–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Marchfeld Donauauen výhra 54%,Remíza 24%,SV Leobendorf výhra 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.37 · Viac 2.5 42% · Current selection Menej