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BEL Belgicko - 1. divízia B · Final ·

Excelsior Virton vs Lierse SK

Prediction review

Domáci form
Final score3–0Predpoveď 1–1
Hostia form
Výhra domácich42%
Remíza26%
Výhra hostí32%
Market-based forecastVýhra domácichTier B · 42% selection probability
Prediction Úspešná
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Excelsior VirtonLierse SK
Expected goals2.79Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Viac53% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúÁno57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Menej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
42% / 26% / 32%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.7%)Dvojitá šanca1274.3%1.35
Viac 53% · Menej 47%Goals 2.5Viac53%1.89
Áno 57% · Nie 43%Oba tímy skórujúÁno57%1.75
2.79 total expected goalsPresné skóre1–1
9.5 expected match cornersRohyMenej 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimŽiadny
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Excelsior Virton win42%2.382.1542%
Remíza26%3.853.5025.8%
Lierse SK win32%3.132.8032.2%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Excelsior Virton1.49

Domáci share of expected goals 53.4%

Total expected goals2.79Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Viac 53% · Menej 47%

Lierse SK1.30

Hostia share of expected goals 46.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitÁno 57% · Nie 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

Excelsior Virton

0.33pts / match
Odohrané3Wins0Drawn1Losses2Body1

SignalHostia unbeaten 4/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Lierse SK

1.60pts / match
Odohrané5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Body8

SignalHostia clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Výhra probability excluding draw
32%
1
Points from supplied form
8
1.49
Expected goals
1.30
Excelsior VirtonLierse SK
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Excelsior Virton signalHostia unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lierse SK signalHostia clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Excelsior Virton vs Lierse SK FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Excelsior Virton výhra 42%,Remíza 26%,Lierse SK výhra 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.79 · Viac 2.5 53% · Current selection Viac