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INT Czechia First League · Zápas ·

Hradec Králové vs Baník Ostrava

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score2–12.28 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich53%
Remíza28%
Výhra hostí19%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich53% selection probability
Projected score2–1Hradec KrálovéBaník Ostrava
Expected goals2.28Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menej60% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúNie62% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Viac 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
53% / 28% / 19%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Baník Ostrava win (19%)Dvojitá šanca1X81%1.23
Viac 40% · Menej 60%Goals 2.5Menej60%1.67
Áno 38% · Nie 62%Oba tímy skórujúNie62%1.61
2.28 total expected goalsPresné skóre2–1
9.9 expected match cornersRohyViac 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFérový kurz
Hradec Králové win53%1.89
Remíza28%3.57
Baník Ostrava win19%5.26

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Hradec Králové1.64

Domáci share of expected goals 71.9%

Total expected goals2.28Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Viac 40% · Menej 60%

Baník Ostrava0.64

Hostia share of expected goals 28.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitÁno 38% · Nie 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

Hradec Králové

2.00pts / match
Odohrané5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Body10

SignalDomáci unbeaten 4/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Baník Ostrava

0.80pts / match
Odohrané5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Body4

SignalDomáci clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Výhra probability excluding draw
19%
10
Points from supplied form
4
1.64
Expected goals
0.64
Hradec KrálovéBaník Ostrava
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Hradec Králové signalDomáci unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Baník Ostrava signalDomáci clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Hradec Králové vs Baník Ostrava FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Hradec Králové výhra 53%,Remíza 28%,Baník Ostrava výhra 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.28 · Viac 2.5 40% · Current selection Menej