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ENG Anglicko - EFL Cup · Zápas ·

Crewe vs Accrington Stanley

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score1–12.69 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich37%
Remíza26%
Výhra hostí37%
Baseline forecastVýhra domácichTier C · 37% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich37% selection probability
Projected score1–1CreweAccrington Stanley
Expected goals2.69Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Viac50% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúÁno55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Viac 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
37% / 26% / 37%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.9%)Dvojitá šanca1274.1%1.35
Viac 50% · Menej 50%Goals 2.5Viac50%2.00
Áno 55% · Nie 45%Oba tímy skórujúÁno55%1.82
2.69 total expected goalsPresné skóre1–1
9.9 expected match cornersRohyViac 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFérový kurz
Crewe win37%2.70
Remíza26%3.85
Accrington Stanley win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Crewe1.35

Domáci share of expected goals 50.2%

Total expected goals2.69Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Viac 50% · Menej 50%

Accrington Stanley1.34

Hostia share of expected goals 49.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitÁno 55% · Nie 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

Crewe

0.00pts / match
Odohrané1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Body0

SignalNie recent signal

Hostia-context · form sequence

Accrington Stanley

1.50pts / match
Odohrané2Wins1Drawn0Losses1Body3

SignalNie recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Výhra probability excluding draw
37%
0
Points from supplied form
3
1.35
Expected goals
1.34
CreweAccrington Stanley
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Crewe signalNie recent signal

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Accrington Stanley signalNie recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Crewe vs Accrington Stanley FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Crewe výhra 37%,Remíza 26%,Accrington Stanley výhra 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.69 · Viac 2.5 50% · Current selection Viac