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POL Польша - Лига IV · Final ·

Обра Костиан vs LKS Goluchow

Prediction review

Хозяева form
Final score1–3Прогноз 1–1
Гости form
Победа хозяев44%
Ничья25%
Победа гостей32%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 44% selection probability
Prediction Не угадано
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев44% selection probability
Projected score1–1Обра КостианLKS Goluchow
Expected goals2.13Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше64% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет57% for the selected side
Expected corners11.2Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
44% / 25% / 32%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.8%)Двойной шанс1275.2%1.33
Больше 36% · Меньше 64%Goals 2.5Меньше64%1.56
Да 43% · Нет 57%Обе забьютНет57%1.75
2.13 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
11.2 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapLKS Goluchow winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Обра Костиан win44%2.272.0044.8%-0.8 pp
Ничья25%4.003.7024.2%+0.8 pp
LKS Goluchow win32%3.132.9030.9%+1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Обра Костиан0.96

Хозяева share of expected goals 45.1%

Total expected goals2.13Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 36% · Меньше 64%

LKS Goluchow1.17

Гости share of expected goals 54.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 43% · Нет 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Обра Костиан

0.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Баллы4

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

LKS Goluchow

1.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Баллы9

SignalХозяева unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
32%
4
Points from supplied form
9
0.96
Expected goals
1.17
Обра КостианLKS Goluchow
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Обра Костиан signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02LKS Goluchow signalХозяева unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Обра Костиан vs LKS Goluchow FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Обра Костиан выигрыш 44%,Ничья 25%,LKS Goluchow выигрыш 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.13 · ТБ 2.5 36% · Current selection Меньше